The picks, with the reasoning.

Model 66% to win vs 56% implied by the -125 price — edge +10.4%.

Kansas City Royals (66-83) at Boston Red Sox (81-68).

Kansas City Royals: Noah Cameron vs Boston Red Sox: Payton Tolle.

Partly cloudy with a high of 68°F and a low of 55°F, with a 20% chance of precipitation.

The Kansas City Royals have no reported injuries, while the Boston Red Sox have no reported injuries.

The Boston Red Sox are looking to bounce back from a recent slump, while the Kansas City Royals are seeking to build on their recent momentum. The Red Sox have a slight edge in terms of pitching, but the Royals have a strong offense that could make them a formidable opponent.

Model 59% to win vs 54% implied by the -115 price — edge +5.5%.

Texas Rangers (73-76) at Arizona Diamondbacks (79-70).

Texas Rangers: Cal Quantrill vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Eduardo Rodriguez.

Recent heavy bullpen usage tilts the total.

The ballpark's run environment favors this side of the total.

Game-day weather (wind/temperature) shifts scoring toward this side.

Partly cloudy with a high of 101°F and a low of 84°F in Phoenix, AZ.

No specific injuries or availability information found in the search results.

The Texas Rangers are facing the Arizona Diamondbacks in an MLB matchup. The Rangers have been struggling with their offense, ranking 24th in the league in runs scored. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have been strong on the mound, with their starters boasting a 3.50 ERA. The Rangers' offense will need to step up to take down the Diamondbacks' pitching staff. The matchup is also notable for the Rangers' struggles against left-handed pitchers, which the Diamondbacks have in their rotation.

Sim projects 9.8 runs (SP 4.05 FIP vs 3.93 FIP, park 1.05); shrunk to market 8.0 -> 9.0. Blended P(Over) 54% vs market 50%. Run environment: 85°F, bullpens 18 IP last 3d.

Model 54% to win vs 52% implied by the -110 price — edge +1.4%.

The game will be played at SoFi Stadium, which is an indoor/fixed roof stadium, so the weather will not be a factor.

No specific injuries or availability information found in the search results.

The Arizona Cardinals are set to face the Los Angeles Chargers in a matchup that could be influenced by the Chargers' strong passing game and the Cardinals' struggling defense. The Chargers have been performing well on the road, while the Cardinals have been inconsistent at home. The line and news suggest that the Chargers are favored, but the Cardinals have the potential to pull off an upset.

Model 54% to win vs 52% implied by the -110 price — edge +1.2%.

Indoor/fixed roof at U.S. Bank Stadium

2 Green Bay starters are questionable

The Green Bay Packers will be without two starters, but the Minnesota Vikings will have their full 53-man roster available. The Packers' offense has been struggling, and the Vikings' defense has been improving. The game will be played indoors at U.S. Bank Stadium, which should not affect the gameplay.